Bye Bye Birdie seems to have it all - a start-studded cast including TV stars AND Broadway stars, it has never been revived and it has a very popular film and thousands of productions to make it a stop for fans of the cast and the show. The box office reflects that, too, hovering in the high 80-mid 90% range of capacity. But the show stinks, and everyone involved knows it. And so it will close once the stars leave. Seems enough people spread the word to Birdie fans to stay away as the advance into the spring wasn't enough to keep it from folding.
A Little Night Music is doing very well so far, though it is in previews. Like Birdie, this one has all the right things going for it. An Oscar winner and 5 time Tony winner are above the title, some of Broadway's most popular up and comers (Erin Davie, Aaron Lazar) are in the cast, and it is a Sondheim show, which automatically gives thrust to the first several months of the run (though no Sondheim shows run that long...). Plus it is a beloved show, never revived, and features a song that generations have heard, "Send in the Clowns." So far so good, but its success may lie in the reviews and in how long Catherine and Angela stay with it.