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Summertime...Took a little vacation! Three reviews coming soon! Amazing Grace, Hand to God and Mamma Mia!

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Jeff

Monday, April 30, 2012

The 2012 Tony Award Nominations: Predictions

This time tomorrow, all the speculation will be over.  We will know which shows will be honored and which will be left out completely.  There will be the "of course they weres," the "isn't that a nice surprises," the "are they kiddings," and the "how could they have been left outs."  Then the dust will settle, the Tony nominations will be what they are, and speculation will begin anew.  Who will win?

Until then, my companion for every new musical and new musical revival this season, Mike, and I have independently made lists predicting who should be nominated for a Tony Award and who will be nominated for a Tony Award.  While we have seen some new plays this season, neither of us felt that we saw enough to make any predictions.

It's funny how much we agreed and how much we disagreed.  Actually, we were pretty even overall, when you add up the numbers per show.  The difference, they say, is in the details.

How does your list compare?  Who do you agree with more?  Let us know by leaving a comment or emailing!


THE MUSICAL CATEGORIES

Jeff - Should
Jeff - Will
Mike - Should
Mike - Will
BEST 
MUSICAL
BEST 
MUSICAL
BEST 
MUSICAL
BEST 
MUSICAL
Bonnie and Clyde
Newsies
Lysistrata Jones
Once
Bonnie and Clyde
Newsies
Nice Work...
Once
Ghost 
Newsies
Lysistrata Jones
Once
Bonnie and Clyde
Newsies
Nice Work...
Once




MUSICAL 
REVIVAL
MUSICAL 
REVIVAL
MUSICAL
REVIVAL
MUSICAL
REVIVAL
Evita
Follies
Porgy and Bess
Godspell
Evita
Follies
Porgy and Bess
Jesus Christ Superstar
Evita
Follies
Porgy and Bess
Godspell
Evita
Follies
Porgy and Bess
Jesus Christ Superstar




BEST BOOK
BEST BOOK
BEST BOOK
BEST BOOK
Douglas Carter Beane, 
Lysistrata Jones
Harvey Fierstein,
Newsies
Ivan Menchell,
Bonnie and Clyde
Enda Walsh, 
Once
Douglas Carter Beane, 
Lysistrata Jones
Joe DiPietro,
Nice Work...
Harvey Fierstein, 
Newsies
Enda Walsh,
Once
Douglas Carter Beane, 
Lysistrata Jones
Harvey Fierstein,
Newsies
Ivan Menchell,
Bonnie and Clyde
Enda Walsh, 
Once
Douglas Carter Beane, 
Lysistrata Jones
Joe DiPietro,
Nice Work...
Harvey Fierstein, 
Newsies
Enda Walsh,
Once




BEST SCORE
BEST SCORE
BEST SCORE
BEST SCORE
Flinn (M and L),
Lysistrata Jones
Menken (M), Feldman(L),
Newsies
Stewart, Ballard (M and L), Rubin (L),
Ghost
Wildhorn (M), Black (L),
Bonnie and Clyde
Menken (M), Feldman (L),
Newsies
Menken (M), Slater (L),
Leap of Faith
Stewart, Ballard (M and L), Rubin (L),
Ghost
Wildhorn (M), Black (L),
Bonnie and Clyde
Flinn (M and L),
Lysistrata Jones
Menken (M), Feldman (L),
Newsies
Stewart, Ballard (M and L), Rubin (L),
Ghost
Wildhorn (M), Black (L),
Bonnie and Clyde
Flinn (M and L),
Lysistrata Jones
Menken (M), Feldman (L),
Newsies
Stewart, Ballard (M and L), Rubin (L),
Ghost
Wildhorn (M), Black (L),
Bonnie and Clyde
** - Both Mike and I recognize that one or more of the score nominees may be replaced by the score for Peter and the Starcatcher, One Man, Two Guvnors or Gore Vidal's The Best Man.

THE DIRECTION CATEGORIES

Jeff - Should
Jeff - Will
Mike - Should
Mike - Will
BEST
ORCHESTRATIONS
BEST
ORCHESTRATIONS
BEST
ORCHESTRATIONS
BEST
ORCHESTRATIONS
Michael Holland,
Godspell
Martin Lowe,
Once
John McDaniel,
Bonnie and Clyde
Chistopher Nightingale,
Ghost 
Bill Elliott,
Nice Work...
Martin Lowe,
Once
M. Starobin and J. Joubert,
Leap of Faith
Daniel Troob,
Newsies
Bill Elliott,
Nice Work...
Martin Lowe,
Once
Chistopher Nightingale,
Ghost
Daniel Troob,
Newsies
Bill Elliott,
Nice Work...
Martin Lowe,
Once
Chistopher Nightingale,
Ghost
Daniel Troob,
Newsies




BEST
CHOREOGRAPHY
BEST
CHOREOGRAPHY
BEST
CHOREOGRAPHY
BEST
CHOREOGRAPHY
Rob Ashford,
Evita
Warren Carlyle,
Follies
Christopher Gattelli,
Newsies
Christopher Gattelli,
Godspell
Rob Ashford,
Evita
Warren Carlyle,
Follies
Christopher Gattelli,
Newsies
Kathleen Marshall,
Nice Work...
Rob Ashford,
Evita
Warren Carlyle,
Follies
Christopher Gattelli,
Newsies
Ashley Wallen,
Ghost
Warren Carlyle,
Follies
Steven Hoggett,
Once
Christopher Gattelli,
Newsies
Kathleen Marshall,
Nice Work...




BEST
DIRECTION
BEST 
DIRECTION
BEST
DIRECTION
BEST
DIRECTION
Jeff Calhoun,
Newsies
Michael Grandage,
Evita
Eric Schaeffer,
Follies
John Tiffany,
Once
Jeff Calhoun,
Newsies
Kathleen Marshall,
Nice Work...
Eric Schaeffer,
Follies
John Tiffany,
Once
Jeff Calhoun,
Newsies
Michael Grandage,
Evita
Eric Schaeffer,
Follies
John Tiffany,
Once
Jeff Calhoun,
Newsies
Kathleen Marshall,
Nice Work...
Eric Schaeffer,
Follies
John Tiffany,
Once

THE TECHNICAL CATEGORIES

Jeff - Should
Jeff - Will
Mike - Should
Mike - Will
Scenic Design
Scenic Design
Scenic Design
Scenic Design

Derek McLane,
Follies
Tobin Ost/Aaron Rhyne,
Bonnie and Clyde
Tobin Ost/Sven Ortel,
Newsies
George Typsin,
Spider-Man Turn Off the Dark

Bob Crowley,
Once
Derek McLane,
Nice Work...
Tobin Ost/Sven Ortel,
Newsies
George Typsin,
Spider-Man Turn Off the Dark

Bob Crowley,
Once
Christopher Oram,
Evita
Tobin Ost/Sven Ortel,
Newsies
George Typsin,
Spider-Man Turn Off the Dark

Bob Crowley,
Once
Derek McLane,
Follies
Tobin Ost/Sven Ortel,
Newsies
George Typsin,
Spider-Man Turn Off the Dark




Lighting Design
Lighting Design
Lighting Design
Lighting Design

Neil Austin,
Evita
Donald Holder,
Spider-Man Turn Off the Dark
Natasha Katz,
Once
Hugh Vanstone,
Ghost

Neil Austin,
Evita
Donald Holder,
Spider-Man Turn Off the Dark
Natasha Katz,
Once
Hugh Vanstone,
Ghost

Jeff Croiter,
Newsies
Donald Holder,
Spider-Man Turn Off the Dark
Natasha Katz,
Once
Hugh Vanstone,
Ghost

Jeff Croiter, Newsies
Peter Kaczrowski,
Nice Work...
Natasha Katz,
Follies
Natasha Katz,
Once





Sound Design
Sound Design
Sound Design
Sound Design

Clive Goodwin,
Once
Kai Harada,
Follies
Mick Potter,
Evita
Ken Travis,
Newsies

Clive Goodwin,
Once
Kai Harada,
Follies
Steve Canyon Kennedy,
Jesus Christ Superstar
Ken Travis,
Newsies

Clive Goodwin,
Once
Brian Ronan,
Nice Work...
John Shivers,
Bonnie and Clyde
Ken Travis,
Newsies

Kai Harada,
Follies
Clive Goodwin,
Once
Brian Ronan,
Nice Work...
Ken Travis,
Newsies
Costume Design
Costume Design
Costume Design
Costume Design
Gregg Barnes,
Follies
Jess Goldstein,
Newsies
Eiko Ishioka,
Spider Man Turn Off the Dark
Christopher Oram,
Evita
Gregg Barnes,
Follies
Jess Goldstein,
Newsies
Eiko Ishioka,
Spider Man Turn Off the Dark
William Ivey Long,
Nice Work...
Gregg Barnes,
Follies
ESosa,
Porgy and Bess
Miranda Hoffman,
Godspell
Eiko Ishioka,
Spider Man Turn Off the Dark
Gregg Barnes,
Follies
ESosa,
Porgy and Bess
Jess Goldstein,
Newsies
William Ivey Long,
Nice Work...

THE ACTING CATEGORIES

Jeff - Should
Jeff - Will
Mike - Should
Mike - Will
Featured 
Actor
Featured
Actor
Featured
Actor
Featured 
Actor

Philip Boykin,
Porgy and Bess
Ricky Martin,
Evita
Michael McGrath,
Nice Work...
Leslie Odem, Jr.,
Leap of Faith
Patrick Page,
Spider Man Turn Off the Dark

Philip Boykin,
Porgy and Bess
Michael Cerveris,
Evita
Ricky Martin,
Evita
Michael McGrath,
Nice Work...
Patrick Page,
Spider Man Turn Off the Dark

Michael Cerveris,
Evita
David Alan Grier,
Porgy and Bess
Joshua Henry,
Porgy and Bess
Ricky Martin,
Evita
Patrick Page,
Spider Man Turn Off the Dark

Michael Cerveris,
Evita
John Dossett,
Newsies
David Alan Grier,
Porgy and Bess
Michael McGrath,
Nice Work...
Patrick Page,
Spider Man Turn Off the Dark
Featured
Actress
Featured
Actress
Featured
Actress
Featured
Actress
Nikki Renee Daniels,
Porgy and Bess
Da'Vine Joy Randolph,
Ghost
Jennifer Laura Thompson,
Nice Work...
Melissa van der Schyff,
Bonnie and Clyde
Terri White,
Follies
Jane Houdyshell,
Follies
Judy Kaye,
Nice Work...
Elaine Page,
Follies
Da'Vine Joy Randolph,
Ghost
Melissa van der Schyff,
Bonnie and Clyde
Nikki Renee Daniels,
Porgy and Bess
Judy Kaye,
Nice Work...
Liz Mikel,
Lysistrata Jones
Melissa van der Schyff,
Bonnie and Clyde
Terri White,
Follies
Nikki Renee Daniels,
Porgy and Bess
Judy Kaye,
Nice Work...
Jessie Mueller,
On a Clear Day...
Elaine Page,
Follies
Terri White,
Follies
Lead Actor
Lead Actor
Lead Actor
Lead Actor

Danny Burstein,
Follies
Raul Esparza,
Leap of Faith
Jeremy Jordan,
Bonnie and Clyde
Jeremy Jordan,
Newsies
Steve Kazee,
Once

Danny Burstein,
Follies
Raul Esparza,
Leap of Faith
Jeremy Jordan,
Newsies
Steve Kazee,
Once
Norm Lewis,
Porgy and Bess

Danny Burstein,
Follies
Jeremy Jordan,
Bonnie and Clyde
Jeremy Jordan,
Newsies
Steve Kazee,
Once
Norm Lewis,
Porgy and Bess

Matthew Broderick,
Nice Work...
Danny Burstein,
Follies
Jeremy Jordan,
Newsies
Steve Kazee,
Once
Norm Lewis,
Porgy and Bess
Lead Actress
Lead Actress
Lead Actress
Lead Actress
Caissie Levy,
Ghost
Jan Maxwell,
Follies
Cristin Miliotti, Once
Laura Osnes,
Bonnie and Clyde
Bernadette Peters,
Follies

Jan Maxwell,
Follies
Audra McDonald,
Porgy and Bess
Cristin Miliotti,
Once
Kelli O'Hara,
Nice Work...
Bernadette Peters,
Follies

Caissie Levy,
Ghost
Jan Maxwell,
Follies
Cristin Miliotti,
Once
Laura Osnes,
Bonnie and Clyde
Bernadette Peters,
Follies

Jan Maxwell,
Follies
Audra McDonald,
Porgy and Bess
Cristin Miliotti,
Once
Kelli O'Hara,
Nice Work...
Laura Osnes,
Bonnie and Clyde

The top nominees:

Follies


Nice Work If You Can Get It

Disney's Newsies




Once



Jeff
3.242
@jkstheatrescene (Twitter); jkstheatrescene@yahoo.com (email); Comment below (Blogger)

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